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UK Retailers Warn of £7bn Hit from Budget Changes

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By Anthony Green
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Major Retailers Raise Alarm Over Rising Costs

Leading UK retailers, including Tesco, Boots, Next, and Marks & Spencer, have written to Chancellor Rachel Reeves, warning that recent Budget changes could cost the sector up to £7 billion annually. The letter, signed by 79 prominent companies and coordinated by the British Retail Consortium, highlights concerns about increased expenses from adjustments to national insurance (NI), the national living wage, and the packaging levy.

Impact on Retail: Inflation, Job Losses, and Shop Closures

The letter emphasised that retailers cannot absorb these substantial cost increases within such a short timeframe. According to the signatories, the additional financial pressures will lead to higher prices for consumers, job losses—particularly in entry-level roles—and even shop closures. This, they warn, will negatively impact high streets across the UK.

Breakdown of Additional Costs

  1. National Insurance Adjustments:
    • Employers will face a £2.3 billion annual bill starting in April due to the NI rate increase to 15% and a lower earnings threshold reduced from £9,100 to £5,000. Retailers noted these changes would disproportionately affect a sector reliant on entry-level and part-time workers.
  2. National Living Wage Increases:
    • Retailers project an extra £2.73 billion in wage costs from April. While much of this was anticipated before the Budget, the sudden combination of cost hikes intensifies the strain.
  3. Packaging Levy (Extended Producer Responsibility):
    • From October, businesses will incur an estimated £2 billion annually to comply with packaging regulations.

Retailers Call for Urgent Discussions

Retailers are urging the Treasury to engage in discussions to address their concerns. They have proposed solutions such as:

  • Phasing in the new lower earnings threshold for NI contributions.
  • Delaying the implementation of packaging levies to provide businesses with more time to adapt.

Government Response to Budget Criticism

The Treasury, responding to criticism, stated that difficult choices were necessary to stabilise the UK economy and lay the groundwork for future growth. A spokesperson reaffirmed the government’s commitment to fostering economic growth by boosting investment and supporting businesses.

Broader Implications for the Economy

Retailers are not alone in raising concerns. Hospitality businesses have also warned that the NI changes could lead to drastic job cuts and widespread closures in their sector. These warnings underline the broader challenges posed by the Budget, as industries grapple with higher operational costs.

Conclusion: A Critical Moment for Retail

With inflationary pressures already straining households, the retail sector fears that these changes could further burden consumers and destabilise high streets nationwide. The coming months will reveal whether the government and businesses can find a balanced solution to navigate these economic challenges.

 

Source: (FT.com)


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